Political/government/civic experience: U.S. Coast Guard veteran; educator inradiologic technology; four Afghanistan deployments with the Department of Defense contractorRemote Medical International; Golf Club Estates Civic Associationboard of directors and treasurer, Campaign email:alison.dietrich@brevardhealth.org, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: None listed. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . So let's figure it out. The votes in these categories already counted are favouring Greens by a good enough margin to close the gap between Labor and Greens on primary which makes it likely for Greens to overtake Labor on minor Party preferences at the 3pp stage. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). This campaigns main areas of focus are in keeping the city government of Melbourne accountable, maintaining the city of Melbourne's reputable business-friendly laws and ensuring lagoon-friendly policies for our residents. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteranWilliam Johnson, who sits on the citys Board of Adjustments. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. (See the graph below for first preference votes in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984.) The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. I don't have a top three issues. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. . When comparing Greens and Labor. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. Will the current flows (which put the Greens on track to pass Labor) continue? "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Support local journalism. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. If that happens, they win. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. Growth will continue in West Melbourne. I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Neighborhoods with flooding issues are already planned during 2023-24 budget year. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Adams also points to the importance of focusing on the towns infrastructure needs. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. (Melbourne local time. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. It included Port Melbourne, but also included a number of middle and upper middle class suburbs such as Albert Park, Balaclava, Caulfield, Elwood, Middle Park, Ripponlea, South Melbourne and St Kilda. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. Florida 2022 elections. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. 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